As the NBA gears up for 2025–26, some familiar faces could be fading access to the postseason. Analysts point to six teams that might not just stumble—but tumble. An Achilles tear, a salary‑cap crunch, shaky defenses—they all add up. Here’s what’s fueling the alarm.
Boston Celtics
Boston enters the new season under a cloud. Jayson Tatum’s ruptured Achilles is expected to keep him out entirely, stripping the team of its offensive engine. Add to that the departure of key veterans—Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford—and the Celtics are forced into salary‑flexing roster changes. The team is now below the second apron, but some insiders worry that the overall athletic profile isn’t keeping pace with competitors. Rebuilding quietly may still fall short in this high‑stakes environment.
Milwaukee Bucks
After yet another early playoff exit and the devastating Achilles injury to Damian Lillard, the Bucks look stuck between a rock and a hard place. Giannis Antetokounmpo’s frustration is growing—he’s entering a contract year with limited draft flexibility and few trade assets. Some believe he may ask to leave, which could trigger a full teardown. Losing Giannis or staying stuck without upgrades would both be damaging.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are walking a tightrope. With Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green all nearing the end of their primes, and Jonathan Kuminga still unproven, the team risks losing its edge. There’s some optimism with veteran possibilities like Seth Curry or Al Horford joining, but the dynasty feels fragile. One more bad season could mean the end of the run.
Indiana Pacers
With Tyrese Haliburton out due to an Achilles tear, the Pacers are looking at missing their shot. Haliburton was the spark that drove their Finals push—but now trades and injuries have forced them to signal a rebuild season. Young players will get reps, but wins probably won’t come easy.
Los Angeles Lakers
Even after adding big names like Deandre Ayton and Marcus Smart, concerns persist around the Lakers. Perimeter defense and reliable shooting are under question, and injuries remain a long-term concern. Plus, Jarred Vanderbilt, carrying a hefty contract, is reportedly being shopped. If he’s traded or sidelined, role‑player depth could shrink.
Sacramento Kings
This team still has talent—with Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and DeMar DeRozan—but struggles persist with roster fit and defense. Fans have watched moments of brilliance, but consistent cohesion remains elusive. Without a stronger supporting cast, playoff success may remain out of reach.
Why This Matters—and What Could Change
Each of these teams has legitimate history, a strong core, or superstar talent. Yet one setback can derail everything—an injury, a lost trade, a financial squeeze. The NBA’s competitive landscape is less forgiving than ever. For fans, that makes every opening game feel charged with possibility—and peril.
The teams above may surprise us. Maybe the Celtics find cohesion under adversity, the Warriors defy age, or Giannis decides the Bucks are still his home. But for now, the signs point to risk. The coming season could be one defined not just by who rises—but who tumbles.